Ran Feng

and 3 more

Three new equilibrium Mid-Pliocene (MP) simulations are implemented with the Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4), Community Earth System Model version 1.2 (CESM1.2), and 2 (CESM2). All simulations are carried out with the same boundary and forcing conditions following the protocol of Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2. These simulations reveal amplified MP climate change relative to preindustrial going from CCSM4 to CESM2, seen in global mean and polar amplification of surface warming, sea ice reduction in both Arctic and Antarctic, and weakened Hadley circulation. The enhanced global mean warming arises from both enhanced Earth System Sensitivity (ESS) and Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) to CO forcing. ESS is amplified by up to 70% in CCSM4, and up to 100% in CESM1.2 and CESM2 relative to ECSs of respective models. Simulations also agree on the strengthened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, but disagree on several other climate metrics. Compared to preindustrial, CCSM4 features small increase in both low and high cloud cover and no change in the mean climate state of the equatorial Pacific. Whereas, both CESM1.2 and 2 show reduction of cloud cover at all heights, and an anomalous El Niño-like state of the equatorial Pacific. The performances of MP simulations are assessed with a new compilation of paleo-observations of sea surface temperature (SST). CESM1.2 and 2 show better skills than CCSM4 in simulating MP global mean warming and amplified SST warming in the northern middle and high latitudes, supporting the amplified ESS compared to the CCSM4.

Jiang Zhu

and 5 more

The Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) simulates a high equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS > 5 degC) and a Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) that is substantially colder than proxy temperatures. In this study, we use the LGM global temperature from geological proxies as a benchmark to examine the role of cloud parameterizations in simulating the LGM cooling in CESM2. Through substituting different versions of cloud schemes in the atmosphere model, we attribute the excessive LGM cooling to the new schemes of cloud microphysics and ice nucleation. Further exploration suggests that removing an inappropriate limiter on cloud ice number (NoNimax) and decreasing the time-step size (substepping) in cloud microphysics largely eliminate the excessive LGM cooling. NoNimax produces a more physically consistent treatment of mixed-phase clouds, which leads to more cloud ice content and a weaker shortwave cloud feedback over mid-to-high latitudes and the Southern Hemisphere subtropics. Microphysical substepping further weakens the shortwave cloud feedback. Based on NoNimax and microphysical substepping, we have developed a paleoclimate-calibrated CESM2 (PaleoCalibr), which simulates well the observed 20th century warming and spatial characteristics of key cloud and climate variables. PaleoCalibr has a lower ECS (~4 degC) and a 20% weaker aerosol-cloud interaction than CESM2. PaleoCalibr represents a physically and numerically better treatment of cloud microphysics and, we believe, is a more appropriate tool than CESM2 in climate change studies, especially when a large climate forcing is involved. Our study highlights the unique value of paleoclimate constraints in informing the cloud parameterizations and ultimately the future climate projection.