loading page

Unravelling the kinematics of the Brewer-Dobson circulation change
  • +3
  • Petr Šácha,
  • Radek Zajíček,
  • Ales Kuchar,
  • Roland Eichinger,
  • Petr Pisoft,
  • Harald Erich Rieder
Petr Šácha
Charles University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Radek Zajíček
Charles University
Author Profile
Ales Kuchar
University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna
Author Profile
Roland Eichinger
German Aerospace Center - DLR
Author Profile
Petr Pisoft
Charles University in Prague
Author Profile
Harald Erich Rieder
University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna
Author Profile

Abstract

Climate models robustly project acceleration of the Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC) in response to climate change. However, the BDC trends derived from comprehensive models do not fully match observations. Additionally, the changing structure of the troposphere and stratosphere has received increasing attention in recent years and to which extent vertical shifts of the circulation are driving the acceleration is under debate. In this study, we present a novel method that enables the attribution of circulation changes to individual kinematic factors. Using this method allows to study the advective BDC trends in unprecedented detail and sheds new light into discrepancies between different datasets (reanalyses and models) at the tropopause and in the lower stratosphere. Our findings provide insights into the reliability of model projections of BDC changes and offer new possibilities for observational constraints.
17 Aug 2023Submitted to ESS Open Archive
17 Aug 2023Published in ESS Open Archive