Figure 3: Conditional predictions, showing the contribution of the 1st (slow) and 2nd (fast) waves, including the intercept, to mean growth rate (\(\overset{\overline{}}{r_{\text{it}}}\), y-axis) over space-modified time (x-axis) represented by the solid black lines, with 95% confidence intervals represented by the grey ribbons. Horizontal black dashed line indicates a growth rate of 0. The light grey points represent the partial residuals for the respective smoothing spline.
<Attached as separate file>
Video 1: Predicted underlying spatio-temporal pattern of\(\overset{\overline{}}{r_{i,t}}\) as a result of both travelling waves (model RDE), animated over true time (i.e., days since the start of the study).